Prediction Markets

Average Wall Street bonus in 2026

Above $250,000

Above $275,000

Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026

Above 8.8 million TEUs

Above 8.9 million TEUs

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Above 2.0 million

Above 2.1 million

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Above 50,000

Above 60,000

Unemployment in October

Above 4.1%

Above 4.2%

Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026

At least 195,000

At least 200,000

US job openings in September

Above 7.10M

Above 7.20M

Mexico unemployment rate in October

Above 2.7%

Above 2.6%

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026

Above 61.50%

Above 62.00%

Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?

Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?

USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?

Above 62.0%

Above 64.0%

Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026

Above 3.15 million TEUs

Above 3.25 million TEUs

Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

Above 4.5%

Above 17%

October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP

U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k

U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k

TSA avg check-ins from Oct 26 to Nov 1, 2026?

Above 2.25 million

Above 2.3 million

China unemployment rate in October

Above 4.9%

Above 5.2%

Will wages beat inflation in 2026?

US unemployment rate at year-end 2027

Above 6.0%

Above 4.5%

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 24, 2026

At least 1700K

At least 1720K

Will Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY?

Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?

US personal saving rate below 2% in 2026?

Unemployment in November

Above 4.1%

Above 4.2%

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

Exactly 4.2%

Exactly 4.1%

Brazil unemployment rate in October

Above 5.2%

Above 4.7%

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

Above 555,000 jobs

Above 560,000 jobs

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

Above 9.6 million

Above 9.8 million

Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026

Above 255,000 jobs

Above 260,000 jobs

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026

Above 5.4%

Above 5.6%

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Above 84,000 jobs

Above 85,000 jobs

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